Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.035208 0.041334 0.047684 0.054717 0.062253 0.070055 0.078710
2025-12-14 0.026934 0.035792 0.045511 0.056792 0.069376 0.082847 0.098237
2025-12-21 0.020831 0.031176 0.043127 0.057550 0.074142 0.092347 0.113570
2025-12-28 0.018390 0.030202 0.044383 0.061965 0.082607 0.105607 0.132755
2026-01-04 0.013755 0.025746 0.040907 0.060349 0.083733 0.110256 0.141999
2026-01-11 0.011194 0.023550 0.039869 0.061360 0.087683 0.117927 0.154479
2026-01-18 0.008892 0.021312 0.038495 0.061729 0.090683 0.124349 0.165400
2026-01-25 0.007030 0.019387 0.037305 0.062146 0.093597 0.130557 0.175977
2026-02-01 0.005323 0.017357 0.035750 0.061927 0.095600 0.135585 0.185093
2026-02-08 0.003353 0.014330 0.032461 0.059190 0.094284 0.136506 0.189268
2026-02-15 0.002238 0.012545 0.030789 0.058465 0.095386 0.140246 0.196689
2026-02-22 0.001600 0.011553 0.030225 0.059183 0.098273 0.146110 0.206596
2026-03-01 0.001110 0.010768 0.030014 0.060505 0.102122 0.153390 0.218506
2026-03-08 0.000820 0.010417 0.030494 0.062820 0.107303 0.162366 0.232527
2026-03-15 0.000464 0.009538 0.029978 0.063645 0.110496 0.168870 0.243573
2026-03-22 0.000464 0.010127 0.032070 0.068299 0.118773 0.181702 0.262269
2026-03-29 0.000116 0.008451 0.029920 0.066600 0.118533 0.183880 0.268050
2026-04-05 0.000027 0.007840 0.029656 0.067664 0.121960 0.190620 0.279343
2026-04-12 NaN 0.007069 0.028982 0.068052 0.124437 0.196142 0.289136
2026-04-19 NaN 0.006378 0.028375 0.068491 0.126952 0.201688 0.298942
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005562 0.027381 0.068261 0.128504 0.205984 0.307192
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004172 0.024820 0.065380 0.126284 0.205388 0.309357
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003437 0.023618 0.064617 0.126964 0.208469 0.316023